The Correct Timing in Forex
Trading
When you
sense a trading opportunity, the deciding factor is to know exactly when to
buy.
Unfortunately
this is the very point at which most loose the plot by timing their entry
levels
improperly.
But here are some basic guidelines to help you at those crucial moments:
Making Proper Use of Support and
Resistance
If you try
and use the fundamental rule of the share market – “buy low, sell high” – in
Forex
trading,
you’ll actually lose money. To understand you need to know how the system of
support
and
resistance works.
A support
price is a historically tested price at which traders intervene and buy, so as
to “support
the
market”. The more times this price is tested, the more bankable the support
price will be.
Inversely,
a resistance level is defined as a level at which “prices were resisted from
moving any
higher”.
Here too the more times this level is tested, the more reliable it becomes.
Why Buy Low and Sell High Doesn’t Work
The reason
why this traditional wisdom is counterproductive in Forex trading is that if
you actually
wait for
prices to fall, you’re going to end up missing some of the best opportunities
for making
money.
Consider: when a currency starts to pick up, what are the chances of its
pulling back?
What if it
doesn’t and steadies out? If you keep waiting for a pullback, you could end up
never
getting in
on the trade because most of the changes in currencies occur from new market
highs
and
without any pullback.
So if you
plan to focus your Forex trade strategy on waiting for an entry at support
prices, wake
up! You
stand to loose out on the most profitable trades. What your Forex trading
strategy should
target is
rather, to “buy high and sell higher” – i.e. you should try and do quite the
reverse of what
the
general crowd is doing. Try and keep a lookout for any breakthroughs in support
and
resistance,
and then sell and buy correspondingly.
It Takes Guts - But It Makes Money
The policy
of going against the crowd takes courage to practice. But think over the
strategy with a
cool head
and you shall find it is the most logical thing to do. How often have you heard
of traders
buying
into support, but the market continuing its freefall, breaking the support?
And again,
haven’t you heard tell of the price continuing to soar and never getting to
support,
thereby
making the trader miss the chance to capitalize on the trend?
So rather
than be traditional and lose money, it is easier to adopt the breakouts policy:
you won’t
be comfortable
on entry but you will be making money. The trick is to break away from the
pattern
that the
losing majority sets and to do what is productive and logical considering the
common and
predictable
response.
The Importance of Real Time
Forex Charting
Do you
want to earn money in the arena of foreign exchange? In order to accomplish so,
you
should
possess in-depth technical knowledge, focused on the capability of tracking
currency
exchange
rates, through interpreting actual forex charts.
If you are
an amateur in this field, you should quickly discover authentic forex charts
from the
Internet
or may opt for free actual forex charts. The best option is however, to take
the help of
free chart
recognition software and mastering on it, you are well suited for this
business.
Online
forex charts keep you updated about currency values at any time, even between
short
time gaps
like minutes to long intervals like several years. The graphs depicting the
oscillations in
rates are
line graphs, or bar diagrams or candlestick charts.
Line
charts are easy to interpret and help you to broadly check ups and downs of
prices. It aids
you to
track the current trend of rate movement. On the contrary, bar charts are not
as lucid as
line
graphs but supply a much in depth information.
To
summarize, the length of a bar chart depicts the amount of rise or fall in
price and the breadth
gives the
duration, which has witnessed this. Initial and final rates are mentioned on
chart so that
you can
identify the range and whether it’s a fall or rise. There are pattern
recognition software
available
that interpret the bar diagrams for you and make your task easier.
The
Japanese were first found to use candlestick charts to plot their amount of
their rice
production.
Since then they have been increasingly popular. Though they are similar to bar
diagrams,
they are colored.
Each color
acts as a code to signify the rise or fall in price. The index is written on
the graph itself.
Thus
candlestick plots are much more user friendly than bars. Candlestick charts
have unique
patterns
and they are as pretty as to be named after natural beauties. As soon as you
are able to
identify
the particular pattern you will identify the market trend.
An actual
forex chart is often complemented with many technical indicators such as trend,
strength,
volatility and cyclic movements. A forex chart is useful itself, but this
adjunct information
is
provided to ease your task of market analysis to predict both movements in the
market and
market
volume.
Calculating Interest on
Forex Trades
One of the
best things about Forex trading is the fact that one can trade using leverage,
thus
borrowing
as much as 1,000 times your capital in order to make a trade. However,
borrowing
money for
trading in foreign exchange is the same as borrowing it for other
purposes—interest
must be
paid on the loan.
However,
as currency trading involves both buying and selling, the interest due on your
loan can
be offset
by the interest earned on the currency you buy. Before going on to particular
examples,
let us
take a look at interest rates in general, to see how the foreign exchange
market is affected
by it.
In central
banks, interest rates are set in accordance with a country’s monetary
policy—high
interest
rates make the currency more expensive to buy and lower interest rates make it
less so.
Imagining
the government of a country with high inflation will help you understand how
interest
rates are
used.
The
government, because of rapidly rising prices, might decide to raise interest
rates. This would
increase
the cost of the country’s currency, and make demand and consumption fall, as
borrowing
would be more expensive.
This in
turn would cause prices to fall and inflation rates would come down. Similarly,
a country
undergoing
recession might lower interest rates to boost the country’s economy, as lower
price of
currency
would cause demand, and, therefore, supply, to increase.
Interest
rates set by central banks also determine at what rate commercial banks can
borrow from
governments
and lend to their customers, including forex traders. Which tells us how
interest
rates
affect this trade.
A trader
who, for example buys GBP/USD, needs to borrow the Dollars to buy the Pounds
and
will,
thus, pay interest on the USD and earn it on the GBP. If the interest rate the
Bank of England
sets for
the UK Pound is higher than the one set by the Federal Reserve for the US
Dollar, the
trader will
earn more on the UK Pounds he bought than he pays on the US Dollars he
borrowed,
thus
making a profit.
However,
unless there is a significant difference between the two interest rates, the
net profit or
loss will
be marginal. Besides, while interest rates are set on an annual basis, trading
positions
are
usually opened for short periods. This serves to significantly lower any gain
or loss on interest
rates.
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